I’m Ulf Holmberg, a PhD economist exploring various and interesting topics such as macroeconomics, econometrics, equity markets, climate change and, last but not least,  consciousness. On this webpage, I share my results and you are more than welcome to read them and to contact me if you have any questions. 

GCP data effect index

(Last data point: 2024-05-05)

Since 2000

Check out the spikes in 2001, 2008, 2018 and 2020

Since 2023

The previously reported spikes in February & March 2024 were due to a RNG in Helsinki (EGG 1092) not functioning as intended)

Macroeconomic tail probabilities

Low values represent macroeconomic stress

(Index under construction, last data point represents  December 2023)

The United States

3y probability density mass

3y probability density mass

3y tail probability


3y tail probability

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