I’m Ulf Holmberg, a PhD economist working withing the financial industry who enjoys exploring various and interesting topics such as macroeconomics, econometrics, equity markets, climate change and consciousness. On this webpage, I share my results and you are more than welcome to read them and to contact me if you have any questions. 

GCP data effect index

(Last data point: 2023-09-22)

Macroeconomic tail probabilities

Low values represent macroeconomic stress

(Under construction, last data point December 2022)

GCP data dependet stock market returns 

Note: The results should not be interpreted as trading advice

From the simulations finalized on the 31st of July 2023

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